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LIBYA
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Libya: UK Air service to intervene in Sirte in upcoming weeks
April, 25, 2016. According to the UK Defense Secretary Michael Fallon, members of the British Special Air Service will join US, French and Italian counterparts in an intervention against the Islamic State in the city of Sirte, where at least 5,000 members of the...
A Status Quo Change in Libya?
Libya is going through a substantial transformation and that's not without pain. There have intense negotiations over the past months, perhaps as intense as the fighting within Libya, which is struggling with so many competing militias, and competing interests of...
Libya Crisis Update: Latest Development
The crisis in Libya is accelerating. MEA Risk Trackers and Analysts say that most major militias have joined the fight against the Islamic State organization ever since the US bombing of an IS site in Sebratha on Friday. The contribution of the various militias hint...
Libya: Western troops confirmed on the ground in Libya
MEA Risk trackers are reporting that Libyan officials confirmed that a French combat squad comprised of 15 troops has been operating out of Benghazi’s Benina air base for more than 2 months, and have helped the pro-government Libyan National Army conduct 2 operations...
Bombing of Libya Looms as Neighboring States Seek to Seal the Borders and Build Refugee Towns
Fresh troop movements and unusual activity along the Algeria-Libya borders are clear indications of the potential for an imminent Western offensive in Libya, according to MEA Risk security trackers. The Algerian authorities, fearful for the consequences of a...
US Enters the Libyan Conflict, But Purpose of Attack Unclear
As predicted by the North Africa Journal’s sister company MEA Risk LLC, the Western intervention in Libya has started yesterday, as U.S. forces kicked off an air campaign in Sabratha, 40 miles west of Tripoli. Although earlier MEA Risk analysts predicted the target to...
Oil prices & the impact on Sovereign Wealth Funds Libya as a case
By Omar Khattaly: The drop in oil prices in the last 12 months has taken markets and investors by surprise. State institutions such as Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWF) have been affected and state budgets have suffered. SWF will grow slowly and in many cases will see some...
Maghreb Security: Easing of Tension vs. Ramadan, but Instability Remains Dangerously High
MEA Risk tracking firm says a return to a certain level of normalcy in the Maghreb region has been taking place ever since the end of Ramadan back in July. Yet the concept of normalcy and a reduction in the stress level compared to the period of Ramadan do not mean...
IS Looking to Widen North Africa Operations, says MEA Risk
There are a lot of chatters and pronouncements in various places about the Islamic State organization (Daesh) seeking to expand its presence and intensify its operations in North Africa, according to MEA Risk. Tunisia and Morocco are particularly mentioned in those...
Belmokhtar Likely Escaped US Attack, and the Bizarre Aftermath
According to the Libyan government of Tobruk, the Algerian militant group leader Mokhtar Belmokhtar, head of al-Mourabitoun, was killed in a U.S. airstrike in eastern Libya. However, there is no evidence of his killing and the US authorities have not confirmed his...
Tunis Museum Attack Claims at Least 19 Deaths: Background and Consequences
At least 19 people were killed in an attack and hostage-taking situation in Tunis, Tunisia today Wednesday. Among those killed were 17 tourists, most from Europe. Also among the dead were the two attackers, while a third man was arrested. The attack took place in a...
The Libyan Crisis: The Moroccan Negotiations Likely to Lead to Nowhere
The Libyan government based in the east of the country and affiliated to the House of Representatives (HoR) is ready to join the negotiating table in Morocco, after it decided not to attend it. Or so it seems. It now has a top military leader, General Khalifa Haftar...
Libya and its three Competing Power Centers
The recent appointment of General Khalifa Haftar as top military commander is an indication that many Libyans are looking to unify their efforts against the Islamists. This appointment is also an effort to form a more solid block against the fast advances of the...
Islamic State says it is behind Corinthia hotel attack
Initial reports suggested three Libyan security guards were slain in the Corinthia Hotel assault while at least four foreigners were later killed. At least one of the dead was an American and another one was French. At least six people were wounded. In a statement on...
Deadly Attack on Corinthia Hotel: UN Reacts
The United Nations Security Council and participants in U.N.-sponsored peace talks for Libya condemned an attack Tuesday at a luxury hotel in Tripoli that killed at least nine people. A Security Council statement urged all parties in Libya to take part in efforts to...
Death toll from Libya crises in 2014 exceeds 2,600 – 71% of the region’s casualties
The year 2014 ended with at least 3,771 fatalities from Critical Incidents in the Maghreb and Sahel zones, based on MEA Risk LLC’s tracking service CIncidents. With an intense political crisis affecting Libya, that country was home for nearly 71% of the casualties,...
Maghreb MEA Risk Digest: Week Ending Jan. 18, 2015
The following review is a summary of Critical Incidents witnessed by MEA Risk Analysts and as reported in Critical Incidents Tracker. For the week ending Sunday January 18th, the Maghreb region saw a decrease in the number of Critical Incidents by a rate of -18%. The...
Libya Inches Toward Failed State Status, says MEA Risk
The collection of problems facing Libya today seems so insurmountable that it makes it a prime candidate for failed statehood status, based on MEA Risk taxonomy. Indeed all the data collected by MEA Risk's Critical Incidents Tracker from war-torn Libya shows continued...
As Oil Production Rises in Libya, so are Local Tribes and Militias’ Fortunes
After reaching its lowest level a few months ago, Libya’s oil production has been slowly rising to reach an estimated 800,000 barrels per day. It is still half of its peak, but it is a significant evolution in a country that is in war. Indeed what is peculiar is this...
The Fall of Derna (Libya) to ISIS is not New
The international media, in particular CNN has focused a great deal of attention to the city of Derna in Eastern Libya, making headlines about being under the control of the Islamic State. In fact, Derna has long been in the hands of the Islamic State through local...
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