Algeria-Morocco conflict: Two scenarios on the likelihood of an armed confrontation

Posted On 10 November 2021

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1235 issue: week ending 12 November 2021

Will then fight or will they not? Tensions between Algeria and Morocco continue to escalate following the killing of three Algerian truckers in the Western Sahara. The Algerian authorities suggested that a Moroccan drone was used to hit the trucks, promising a response. Among security analysts covering North Africa, there is no consensus as to the prospect of a military conflict, but some of them fear the worst. Here are two possible scenarios that could happen in the coming months, the first one being the most likely of the two:

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Other Articles in this Week's Issue<< Algeria sacks General Mohamed Kaidi, head of the military Employment & Preparedness department, signals continued instability in military leadershipLibya: Handful of mercenaries may leave Libya soon >>
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Written by The North Africa Journal

The North Africa Journal is a leading English-language publication focused on North Africa. The Journal covers primarily the Maghreb region and expands its general coverage to the Sahel, Egypt, and beyond, when events in those regions affect the broader North Africa geography. The Journal does not have any affiliation with any institution and has been independent since its founding in 1996. Our position is to always bring our best analysis of events affecting the region, and remain as neutral as humanly possible. Our coverage is not limited to one single topic, but ranges from economic and political affairs, to security, defense, social and environmental issues. We rely on our full staff analysts and editors to bring you best-in-class analysis. We also work with sister company MEA Risk LLC, to leverage the presence on the ground of a solid network of contributors and experts. Information on MEA Risk can be found at www.MEA-Risk.com.

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