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هدنة هشة بعد أكثر من ستة أسابيع من الحرب تكشف اتساع الفجوة بين الوعود التي سُوِّقت في واشنطن عن حرب خاطفة على إيران وبين واقع صراع معقد استنزف القدرات العسكرية وعمّق أزمة الطاقة العالمية فيما بقيت مراكز القرار في طهران صامدة.

Armed groups in northern Mali are shifting toward repeatable FPV drone strikes against Malian army and Russian-linked Africa Corps positions. Recent attacks in Anéfis and Aguelhok indicate a tactical evolution that challenges the assumption of operational sanctuary in the Kidal region.

Niger has formalized local self-defense units known as Domol Leydi as violence intensifies across its borders, reflecting a shift toward community-based security in response to expanding militant activity and limited state reach.

Egypt has imposed a nationwide 9 p.m. curfew on shops, restaurants, and entertainment venues to reduce electricity consumption amid rising energy costs and supply disruptions linked to the war in Iran.