Guinea-Bissau: Uncertainty dominates with incumbent president breaking all rules and laws

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19 January 2024: In Guinea-Bissau, the presidential elections, with no date so far, appear extremely uncertain: the current President, Umaro Sissico, illegally dissolved the parliament in early December and prevented members of parliament from accessing their building. Guinea-Bissau is following the path of Senegal, with efforts underway to block the candidacy of his main opponent, Domingos Simones Pereira, the Speaker of Parliament.

(c) MondAfrique


Elections in Guinea-Bissau take place within the framework of a multi-party democracy and a . Both the and the are directly elected by voters.

Latest election

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Presidental

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CandidatePartyFirst roundSecond round
Votes%Votes%
Domingos Simões PereiraAfrican Party for the Independence of Guinea and Cape Verde222,87040.13254,46846.45
Umaro Sissoco EmbalóMadem G15153,53027.65293,35953.55
Nuno Gomes NabiamAssembly of the People United73,06313.16
José Mário VazIndependent68,93312.41
Carlos Gomes JúniorIndependent14,7662.66
Baciro DjáPatriotic Front of National Salvation7,1261.28
Vicente FernandesDemocratic Convergence Party (Guinea-Bissau)4,2500.77
Mamadú Iaia DjalóNew Democracy Party (Guinea-Bissau)2,8130.51
Idrissa DjalóNational Unity Party (Guinea-Bissau)2,5690.46
Mutaro Intai DjabiIndependent2,3850.43
Gabriel Fernando IndiUnited Social Democratic Party1,9820.36
António Afonso TéRepublican Party for Independence and Development1,0610.19
Total555,348100.00547,827100.00

Parliamentary

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PartyVotes%Seats
Inclusive Alliance Platform – Terra Ranka264,24039.4254
Madem G15163,50924.3929
Party for Social Renewal100,42914.9812
Guinean Workers' Party54,7848.176
Assembly of the People United29,7874.441
Resistance of Guinea-Bissau-Bafatá Movement10,9891.640
New Democracy Party (Guinea-Bissau)7,1111.060
Patriotic Front of National Salvation6,3790.950
National Convergence for Freedom and Development5,2000.780
African National Congress (Guinea-Bissau)4,5260.680
African Party for Peace and Social Stability4,2720.640
Light Party3,0210.450
Social Democratic Movement (Guinea-Bissau)3,0200.450
Guiné NOBU2,6000.390
National Unity Party (Guinea-Bissau)2,3680.350
Republican Party for Independence and Development2,3630.350
African Party for Freedom and Development1,6570.250
Our Homeland Party1,1550.170
United Social Democratic Party1,0700.160
Alliance for the Republic7570.110
Manifest Party of the People7170.110
Democratic Centre3030.050
Total670,257100.00102

Electoral history

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Although elected members to the , it was not until the 1960s that an elected body was created to represent the territory of . A 15-seat Legislative Council was created in 1963, although only a minority of members were elected by a franchise restricted by literacy and tax-paying requirements.

Arguably the first elections to take place under were those organised by the (PAIGC), a pro-independence rebel group that occupied most of the territory by the early 1970s. The PAIGC organised a to regional councils in the 11 regions that they controlled, whose members then elected a National Assembly. Although the vote was open to all residents over the age of 17, voters were presented with a single list of PAIGC candidates to approve or vote against. The lists were approved by 97% of voters.

In the same year the Legislative Council became the Legislative Assembly, with five of the 17 members to be elected directly. However, the restrictive franchise requirements and PAIGC occupation of much of the country meant that only 7,824 people were registered to vote. The was held on a non-partisan basis.

Following formal independence in 1974, were held between December 1976 and January 1977. These were held using the same system as the 1972 elections, although voters in some parts of the country voted for unofficial candidates, leading to the PAIGC's vote share dropping to 80%. Elections were held under the same format in and , with the PAIGC lists being approved by 96% of voters in 1989.

Multi-party democracy was introduced in May 1991, and were held after several delays in 1994. The President was elected by public vote for the first time using a ; João Bernardo Vieira of the PAIGC narrowly defeated of the (PRS) by 52%–48% in the second round of voting. The PAIGC received 46% of the vote in the National People's Assembly elections, winning a majority of the seats.

Following that resulted in the overthrow of Vieira, for a second time in late 1999, with a presidential runoff in January 2000. This time Ialá defeated the PAIGC candidate and acting President . The PRS emerged as the largest party in the National People's Assembly, but held only 38 of the 102 seats; the PAIGC finished third behind the .

Ialá was overthrown in a coup in September 2003, and after several delays, were held in March 2004. The PAIGC re-emerged as the largest party, but failed to win a majority of seats and formed a government together with the PRS. were held the following year, and although Malam Bacai Sanhá of the PAIGC received the most votes in the first round, he was defeated by the now-independent candidate João Bernardo Vieira in the second.

The were held in 2008 and resulted in a landslide victory for the PAIGC, which won 67 of the 100 seats. Vieira was assassinated in March 2009, and resulted in a victory for Sanhá at the third attempt. Sanhá died in January 2012, and were required to elect a successor. A first round was held in March, but the run-off between Carlos Gomes Júnior of the PAIGC and Ialá was cancelled after a on 12 April.

A transition to civilian rule was completed in 2014 after saw become President after defeating independent candidate Nuno Gomes Nabiam in the runoff, whilst the PAIGC retained its parliamentary majority, winning 57 of the 102 seats in the expanded National People's Assembly.

Electoral system

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President

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The President is elected using the .

National People's Assembly

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The electoral system used between 1972 and 1989 involved voters electing regional councils, which in turn elected the members of the National People's Assembly. Voters were presented with a single list of PAIGC candidates to approve or vote against, although in some elections people voted for unofficial candidates. A voter turnout of at least 50% was required to validate the election in each sector.

The country's current electoral law was passed on 15 May 1985. The National People's Assembly has 102 directly elected members; 100 are elected from 27 multi-member constituencies, with one single-member constituency representing citizens living abroad in Africa, and one for citizens living in Europe. Voters are required to be at least 18 years old and hold Guinea-Bissau citizenship, whilst candidates had to be at least 21.

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  • Adam Carr's Election Archive
  • African Elections Database
Other Articles in this Week's Issue<< Algeria’s incumbent president and military working to clear path before vote by eliminating oppositionSenegal: Outgoing president seeks to impose his protege >>

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