Egypt’s expanding posture in Somalia and its firm stance on Sudan reveal a coherent security doctrine taking shape along its southern and southeastern perimeter. Cairo is drawing explicit red lines against state collapse, territorial fragmentation, and the emergence of parallel authorities in strategically sensitive areas of the Horn of Africa and the Red Sea basin.

Egypt has expanded the scope of its military and security engagement in Somalia following Israel’s recognition of Somaliland, a self-declared breakaway region on the Gulf of Aden. Egyptian officials view the move as part of a broader shift in Horn of Africa geopolitics that could affect Red Sea security, Nile water negotiations, and regional power balances.

Egypt has reiterated that the Nile River is an “existential issue” for his country, warning that Cairo will not compromise or tolerate unilateral measures over its water security. Egypt says it is relying on international law to defend its rights as tensions continue with Ethiopia over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam.

Embassy protests test Egypt’s foreign policy and Sisi’s response.Embassy protests spark debate on Egypt’s foreign policy and Sisi’s stance.