Jul 13, 2026

While its Minorities are Winning World Cup Games, France is Preparing to Pivot to the Far Right$

As France's multiethnic World Cup squad marches toward the semifinals, the country's 2027 presidential race is tilting hard right. Right-winger Marine Le Pen leads first-round polling and beats nearly every rival in hypothetical runoffs. With RN president Jordan Bardella waiting in the wings and Jean-Luc Mélenchon consolidating the left, France's fractured center may not be able to stop either a far-right or hard-left runoff in 2027. Here is our take.
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Sahel: How Gold and Jihadist Violence Are Redrawing the Guinea-Mali Border$

Along the Guinea-Mali border, jihadist violence and a fast-moving gold economy are colliding to reshape security, trade and governance. In the Siguiri-Kourémalé corridor, formal border controls, informal crossings and illicit mining networks are all pulling the region in different directions.

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OCP’s Sulfur Shock Exposes the Weak Link in Morocco’s Fertilizer Empire$

How a company thousands of miles from the Hormuz is feeling the squeeze as disruptions in the strait push up fertilizer, fuel, and freight costs across global supply chains. A distant geopolitical shock became a direct hit to OCP’s sulfur supplies and margins.

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